2025–26 NHL Season
Tampa Bay Lightning
Atlantic Division · Eastern · 11 games left
Points
94
44-21-6 record
Points %
66.2%
71 games played
Goal Diff
+61
260 GF · 199 GA
Proj. Points
107.8
11 games remaining
Playoff Probability Breakdown
Make Playoffs
>99%
Win Division
38%
Wild Card
2%
Pres. Trophy
<1%
The Tampa Bay Lightning currently have a 100% chance of making the 2025–26 NHL playoffs, a 38% chance of winning the Atlantic Division, and are projected to finish with 107.8 points over 11 remaining games. Probabilities are updated daily at 9 AM ET using 25,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining NHL schedule.
Playoff Probability Trend
Make PlayoffsWin Division
Atlantic Division Standings
1
Buffalo Sabres
44-20-896
PTS
Playoffs
Win Div 60%>99%
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
44-21-694
PTS
Playoffs
Win Div 38%>99%
3
Montréal Canadiens
40-21-1090
PTS
Playoffs
Win Div 2%96%
4
Boston Bruins
40-24-888
PTS
Playoffs
Win Div <1%73%
5
Ottawa Senators
38-24-1086
PTS
Playoffs
Win Div <1%55%
6
Detroit Red Wings
38-25-884
PTS
Playoffs
Win Div <1%44%
7
Toronto Maple Leafs
31-29-1375
PTS
Playoffs
Win Div <1%<1%
8
Florida Panthers
35-33-373
PTS
Playoffs
Win Div <1%<1%
| Team | PTS | W-L-OT | GP | REM | PLAYOFFS | WIN DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 96 | 44-20-8 | 72 | 9 | >99% | 60% |
2 | 94 | 44-21-6 | 71 | 11 | >99% | 38% |
3 | 90 | 40-21-10 | 71 | 11 | 96% | 2% |
4 | 88 | 40-24-8 | 72 | 10 | 73% | <1% |
5 | 86 | 38-24-10 | 72 | 10 | 55% | <1% |
6 | 84 | 38-25-8 | 71 | 10 | 44% | <1% |
7 | 75 | 31-29-13 | 73 | 9 | <1% | <1% |
8 | 73 | 35-33-3 | 71 | 11 | <1% | <1% |
Playoff Race Context
Division Rank#2in Atlantic
Regulation Wins351st tie-breaker
ROW402nd tie-breaker
