In The Playoffs publishes daily playoff probabilities for every team in the NHL, NBA, and MLB. Each morning we run 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule to estimate every team's chance of reaching the postseason. Browse live odds by league below, or open any team for a full breakdown of its division, wild card, and championship probabilities.
The 16-team NHL field — three division winners plus two wild cards per conference. Here are the teams most likely to qualify right now.
| # | Team | Record | Make Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 52-16-11 | >99% |
| 2 | Carolina Hurricanes | 52-22-6 | >99% |
| 3 | Dallas Stars | 48-20-12 | >99% |
| 4 | Montréal Canadiens | 48-23-10 | >99% |
| 5 | Buffalo Sabres | 49-23-8 | >99% |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 49-25-6 | >99% |
Seeds 1–6 in each conference clinch directly; seeds 7–10 fight through the Play-In Tournament. Here are the current NBA front-runners.
| # | Team | Record | Make Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 64-17 | >99% |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs | 62-19 | >99% |
| 3 | Detroit Pistons | 59-22 | >99% |
| 4 | Boston Celtics | 55-26 | >99% |
| 5 | New York Knicks | 53-28 | >99% |
| 6 | Denver Nuggets | 53-28 | >99% |
Twelve teams reach October — three division winners and three wild cards per league. Here are the clubs with the best odds today.
| # | Team | Record | Make Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 72-46 | >99% |
| 2 | Milwaukee Brewers | 74-45 | >99% |
| 3 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 71-48 | >99% |
| 4 | Atlanta Braves | 71-48 | >99% |
| 5 | New York Yankees | 66-52 | 99% |
| 6 | Chicago Cubs | 69-50 | 97% |
In The Playoffs is a free sports analytics site that publishes daily playoff probabilities for all 92 NHL, NBA, and MLB teams. Every morning it runs 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of each league's remaining schedule and reports the share of simulations in which each team reaches the postseason.
Every remaining regular-season game is simulated 100,000 times using Elo-style team strength ratings and home-ice, home-court, or home-field advantage, then each league's real playoff and tiebreaker rules are applied. A team's playoff probability is the percentage of those simulations in which it qualifies for the postseason.
Odds refresh every morning at 9 AM ET, after the previous day's games are final. The NHL and NBA cover the 2025–26 season and MLB covers the 2026 season.
Yes. All playoff odds, power rankings, odds trends, and team pages are free to read, with no account or signup required.
All probabilities are updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-08-11. How we calculate playoff odds · About.