The San Diego Padres have a >99% chance to make the 2026 MLB playoffs with a 91-71 record in the National League West. Win Division: <1% · Wild Card: >99% · World Series: <1%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | >99% |
| Win Division | <1% |
| Wild Card | >99% |
| World Series | <1% |
The San Diego Padres currently hold NL Wild Card spot 1 with 0 games left to play.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Place in the NL West | 2nd · 9.0 GB |
| Place in the NL Wild Card race | 1st |
| Games remaining | 0 |
| Last 10 | 8-2 |
| Playoff status | Clinched |
The San Diego Padres are 91-71 through 162 games of the 2026 season, with 0 games remaining. Their current playoff outlook is a >99% chance to make the playoffs, <1% to win the division, >99% as a Wild Card, and <1% to win the World Series.
Through 162 games, the San Diego Padres have a 91-71 record. The model currently projects 91 wins, based on 100,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
The San Diego Padres can improve their postseason position by converting the remaining schedule into wins. Current model probabilities are a >99% chance to make the playoffs, <1% to win the division, >99% as a Wild Card, and <1% to win the World Series; these figures will update after the next simulation run.
According to our Monte Carlo simulation model (updated 2026-10-30), the San Diego Padres have a >99% chance to make the 2026 MLB playoffs. Their current record is 91-71. Win Division probability: <1%. Wild Card probability: >99%. World Series probability: <1%.
The San Diego Padres 2026 MLB playoff odds: Make Playoffs >99%, Win National League West <1%, Wild Card >99%, World Series <1%. These odds are calculated daily using 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
The San Diego Padres playoff probability is >99% as of 2026-10-30. This is based on simulating the remaining San Diego Padres schedule 100,000 times using adjusted team strength ratings and home-field advantage.
The San Diego Padres currently hold NL Wild Card spot 1 with 0 games left to play.
The San Diego Padres are 9.0 games back in the NL West and — games back of the final NL Wild Card spot, currently held by the Philadelphia Phillies, as of 2026-10-30.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-10-30. How it works.