The 2026 MLB season is complete. Nightly playoff odds for all 30 teams — built from 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of every remaining game — resume when the 2027 regular season opens. Below are the final 2026 standings and each team's closing playoff probability; click any team for its full season record.
| Rank | Team | Record | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Wild Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milwaukee Brewers | 103-59 | >99% | >99% | <1% |
| 2 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 100-62 | >99% | >99% | <1% |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Rays | 98-64 | >99% | >99% | <1% |
| 4 | Atlanta Braves | 94-68 | >99% | >99% | <1% |
| 5 | New York Yankees | 93-68 | >99% | <1% | >99% |
| 6 | San Diego Padres | 91-71 | >99% | <1% | >99% |
| 7 | Chicago Cubs | 89-73 | >99% | <1% | >99% |
| 8 | Philadelphia Phillies | 88-74 | >99% | <1% | >99% |
| 9 | Boston Red Sox | 87-75 | >99% | <1% | >99% |
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | 85-77 | >99% | >99% | <1% |
| 11 | Chicago White Sox | 84-78 | >99% | <1% | >99% |
| 12 | Houston Astros | 81-81 | >99% | >99% | <1% |
| 13 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 86-76 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 82-80 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 | Miami Marlins | 80-82 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 | Texas Rangers | 80-82 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 17 | Toronto Blue Jays | 79-83 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 | Baltimore Orioles | 79-82 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 19 | Washington Nationals | 77-85 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 20 | St. Louis Cardinals | 77-85 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 21 | Minnesota Twins | 77-85 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 22 | Detroit Tigers | 76-86 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 23 | Seattle Mariners | 76-86 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 24 | Cincinnati Reds | 75-87 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 25 | New York Mets | 74-88 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 26 | Kansas City Royals | 69-93 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 27 | San Francisco Giants | 65-97 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 28 | Athletics | 64-98 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 29 | Los Angeles Angels | 62-100 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 30 | Colorado Rockies | 58-104 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
These are final figures from a completed season, not live odds. Nightly simulations resume when the MLB regular season opens. Read the full methodology.
MLB playoff odds on In The Playoffs are calculated by running 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining regular season schedule every day. Each simulation uses adjusted team strength ratings (based on runs scored and allowed), home-field advantage, and current standings to project every remaining game. The percentage of simulations in which a team makes the playoffs is their playoff probability.
12 teams make the MLB playoffs each season — 6 from the American League and 6 from the National League. Each league sends 3 division winners (AL/NL East, Central, West) plus 3 Wild Card teams. The two division winners with the best records get a first-round bye; the other four teams play in the best-of-three Wild Card Series.
The MLB Wild Card is a playoff spot awarded to the three non-division-winner teams with the best regular season records in each league. Wild Card teams enter the postseason as seeds 4, 5, and 6 and play in the best-of-three Wild Card Series: the 3 seed hosts the 6 seed and the 4 seed hosts the 5 seed.
The MLB playoff odds for all 30 teams in the 2026 season are updated daily on In The Playoffs. Teams with the highest playoff probability are typically division leaders and Wild Card contenders in each league. Visit the MLB playoff odds page for the latest probabilities, updated every morning at 9 AM ET.
MLB playoff odds on In The Playoffs are updated every morning at 9 AM ET, incorporating all games played the previous day. The model re-runs 100,000 simulations of the remaining schedule to produce fresh probabilities for all 30 teams.
Final data through 2026-10-30.