Live MLB playoff odds for all 30 teams, updated every morning from 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of every remaining game in the 2026 season. The table below shows each team's chance to make the playoffs, win its division, and clinch a Wild Card spot — click any team for a full breakdown.
| # | Team | Record | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Wild Card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 67-39 | >99% | >99% | <1% |
| 2 | Milwaukee Brewers | 66-39 | >99% | 94% | 6% |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Rays | 62-43 | >99% | 75% | 24% |
| 4 | Atlanta Braves | 62-43 | 98% | 87% | 11% |
| 5 | New York Yankees | 59-46 | 97% | 22% | 75% |
| 6 | Chicago Cubs | 59-46 | 83% | 5% | 78% |
| 7 | Chicago White Sox | 55-49 | 77% | 53% | 24% |
| 8 | Boston Red Sox | 54-50 | 69% | 2% | 67% |
| 9 | Philadelphia Phillies | 57-49 | 68% | 10% | 57% |
| 10 | Cleveland Guardians | 54-53 | 61% | 32% | 29% |
| 11 | Texas Rangers | 53-52 | 58% | 50% | 9% |
| 12 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 55-51 | 38% | <1% | 37% |
| 13 | Seattle Mariners | 52-54 | 35% | 28% | 8% |
| 14 | Minnesota Twins | 53-54 | 35% | 12% | 23% |
| 15 | Washington Nationals | 54-52 | 32% | 2% | 30% |
| 16 | Houston Astros | 52-55 | 31% | 22% | 9% |
| 17 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 54-52 | 26% | <1% | 26% |
| 18 | St. Louis Cardinals | 53-52 | 22% | <1% | 22% |
| 19 | Baltimore Orioles | 51-55 | 20% | <1% | 20% |
| 20 | San Diego Padres | 53-53 | 18% | <1% | 18% |
| 21 | Miami Marlins | 52-54 | 12% | 1% | 12% |
| 22 | Detroit Tigers | 50-56 | 12% | 3% | 8% |
| 23 | Toronto Blue Jays | 48-58 | 4% | <1% | 4% |
| 24 | Cincinnati Reds | 49-55 | 3% | <1% | 3% |
| 25 | Athletics | 44-61 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 26 | Kansas City Royals | 45-62 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 27 | Los Angeles Angels | 42-64 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 28 | San Francisco Giants | 44-61 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 29 | New York Mets | 44-62 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 30 | Colorado Rockies | 42-65 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Odds are recalculated every morning at 9 AM ET from 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of each team's remaining schedule. Read the full methodology.
MLB playoff odds on In The Playoffs are calculated by running 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining regular season schedule every day. Each simulation uses adjusted team strength ratings (based on runs scored and allowed), home-field advantage, and current standings to project every remaining game. The percentage of simulations in which a team makes the playoffs is their playoff probability.
12 teams make the MLB playoffs each season — 6 from the American League and 6 from the National League. Each league sends 3 division winners (AL/NL East, Central, West) plus 3 Wild Card teams. The two division winners with the best records get a first-round bye; the other four teams play in the best-of-three Wild Card Series.
The MLB Wild Card is a playoff spot awarded to the three non-division-winner teams with the best regular season records in each league. Wild Card teams enter the postseason as seeds 4, 5, and 6 and play in the Wild Card Series, a best-of-three round against seeds 3, 4, and 5 respectively.
The MLB playoff odds for all 30 teams in the 2026 season are updated daily on In The Playoffs. Teams with the highest playoff probability are typically division leaders and Wild Card contenders in each league. Visit the MLB playoff odds page for the latest probabilities, updated every morning at 9 AM ET.
MLB playoff odds on In The Playoffs are updated every morning at 9 AM ET, incorporating all games played the previous day. The model re-runs 100,000 simulations of the remaining schedule to produce fresh probabilities for all 30 teams.
Data through 2026-07-27.