2026 MLB Season
Tampa Bay Rays
AL East · 9-7 · 146 games left
9–7 · 0.563 W%
Make Playoffs
47%
±0.6%
AL — East
Win Division
23%
±0.5%
AL East
Wild Card
24%
±0.5%
Non-division winner
World Series
4%
±0.2%
Champion
Projected Wins81.3
Record9–7
Games Played16
AL — East Division
| Team | W | L | W% | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Baltimore Orioles | 9 | 8 | 0.529 | 47% |
 New York Yankees | 9 | 8 | 0.529 | 47% |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 9 | 7 | 0.563 | 47% |
 Toronto Blue Jays | 7 | 9 | 0.438 | 35% |
 Boston Red Sox | 6 | 11 | 0.353 | 28% |
The Tampa Bay Rays currently have a 47% chance of making the 2026 MLB playoffs, with a 23% probability of winning the AL East Division. They are projected to finish with 81.3 wins over 146 remaining games. Probabilities are updated daily using 25,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining MLB schedule.