2026 MLB Season
Miami Marlins
NL East · 9-9 · 144 games left
9–9 · 0.500 W%
Make Playoffs
40%
±0.6%
NL — East
Win Division
21%
±0.5%
NL East
Wild Card
20%
±0.5%
Non-division winner
World Series
4%
±0.2%
Champion
Projected Wins80.8
Record9–9
Games Played18
NL — East Division
| Team | W | L | W% | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atlanta Braves | 11 | 7 | 0.611 | 48% |
| Miami Marlins | 9 | 9 | 0.500 | 40% |
 Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 9 | 0.471 | 36% |
 Washington Nationals | 8 | 9 | 0.471 | 37% |
 New York Mets | 7 | 11 | 0.389 | 31% |
The Miami Marlins currently have a 40% chance of making the 2026 MLB playoffs, with a 21% probability of winning the NL East Division. They are projected to finish with 80.8 wins over 144 remaining games. Probabilities are updated daily using 25,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining MLB schedule.