The Seattle Mariners have a <1% chance to make the 2026 MLB playoffs with a 76-86 record in the American League West. Win Division: <1% · Wild Card: <1% · World Series: <1%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | <1% |
| Win Division | <1% |
| Wild Card | <1% |
| World Series | <1% |
The Seattle Mariners sit 8.0 games behind the Chicago White Sox for the final AL Wild Card spot, with 0 games left to play.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Place in the AL West | 3rd · 5.0 GB |
| Place in the AL Wild Card race | 9th · 8.0 GB |
| Games remaining | 0 |
| Last 10 | 6-4 |
| Playoff status | Eliminated |
The Seattle Mariners are 76-86 through 162 games of the 2026 season, with 0 games remaining. Their current playoff outlook is a <1% chance to make the playoffs, <1% to win the division, <1% as a Wild Card, and <1% to win the World Series.
Through 162 games, the Seattle Mariners have a 76-86 record. The model currently projects 76 wins, based on 100,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
The Seattle Mariners can improve their postseason position by converting the remaining schedule into wins. Current model probabilities are a <1% chance to make the playoffs, <1% to win the division, <1% as a Wild Card, and <1% to win the World Series; these figures will update after the next simulation run.
According to our Monte Carlo simulation model (updated 2026-10-30), the Seattle Mariners have a <1% chance to make the 2026 MLB playoffs. Their current record is 76-86. Win Division probability: <1%. Wild Card probability: <1%. World Series probability: <1%.
The Seattle Mariners 2026 MLB playoff odds: Make Playoffs <1%, Win American League West <1%, Wild Card <1%, World Series <1%. These odds are calculated daily using 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
The Seattle Mariners playoff probability is <1% as of 2026-10-30. This is based on simulating the remaining Seattle Mariners schedule 100,000 times using adjusted team strength ratings and home-field advantage.
The Seattle Mariners sit 8.0 games behind the Chicago White Sox for the final AL Wild Card spot, with 0 games left to play.
The Seattle Mariners are 5.0 games back in the AL West and 8.0 games back of the final AL Wild Card spot, currently held by the Chicago White Sox, as of 2026-10-30.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-10-30. How it works.