The Baltimore Orioles have a <1% chance to make the 2026 MLB playoffs with a 79-82 record in the American League East. Win Division: <1% · Wild Card: <1% · World Series: <1%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | <1% |
| Win Division | <1% |
| Wild Card | <1% |
| World Series | <1% |
The Baltimore Orioles sit 4.5 games behind the Chicago White Sox for the final AL Wild Card spot, with 0 games left to play.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Place in the AL East | 4th · 18.5 GB |
| Place in the AL Wild Card race | 5th · 4.5 GB |
| Games remaining | 0 |
| Last 10 | 6-4 |
| Playoff status | Eliminated |
The Baltimore Orioles are 79-82 through 161 games of the 2026 season, with 0 games remaining. Their current playoff outlook is a <1% chance to make the playoffs, <1% to win the division, <1% as a Wild Card, and <1% to win the World Series.
Through 161 games, the Baltimore Orioles have a 79-82 record. The model currently projects 79 wins, based on 100,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
The Baltimore Orioles can improve their postseason position by converting the remaining schedule into wins. Current model probabilities are a <1% chance to make the playoffs, <1% to win the division, <1% as a Wild Card, and <1% to win the World Series; these figures will update after the next simulation run.
According to our Monte Carlo simulation model (updated 2026-10-30), the Baltimore Orioles have a <1% chance to make the 2026 MLB playoffs. Their current record is 79-82. Win Division probability: <1%. Wild Card probability: <1%. World Series probability: <1%.
The Baltimore Orioles 2026 MLB playoff odds: Make Playoffs <1%, Win American League East <1%, Wild Card <1%, World Series <1%. These odds are calculated daily using 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
The Baltimore Orioles playoff probability is <1% as of 2026-10-30. This is based on simulating the remaining Baltimore Orioles schedule 100,000 times using adjusted team strength ratings and home-field advantage.
The Baltimore Orioles sit 4.5 games behind the Chicago White Sox for the final AL Wild Card spot, with 0 games left to play.
The Baltimore Orioles are 18.5 games back in the AL East and 4.5 games back of the final AL Wild Card spot, currently held by the Chicago White Sox, as of 2026-10-30.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-10-30. How it works.