2025–26 NBA Playoff Probability — All 30 Teams
1
Oklahoma City ThunderIN
Northwest · 64-18 (0.780)64
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div >99%
Win Conf >99%
Proj 64W
SOS Easy
2
San Antonio SpursIN
Southwest · 62-20 (0.756)62
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div >99%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 62W
SOS Easy
3
Detroit PistonsIN
Central · 60-22 (0.732)60
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div >99%
Win Conf >99%
Proj 60W
SOS Easy
4
Boston CelticsIN
Atlantic · 56-26 (0.683)56
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div >99%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 56W
SOS Easy
5
Denver NuggetsIN
Northwest · 54-28 (0.659)54
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 54W
SOS Hard
6
Los Angeles LakersIN
Pacific · 53-29 (0.646)53
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div >99%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 53W
SOS Hard
7
New York KnicksIN
Atlantic · 53-29 (0.646)53
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 53W
SOS Hard
8
Cleveland CavaliersIN
Central · 52-30 (0.634)52
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 52W
SOS Hard
9
Houston RocketsIN
Southwest · 52-30 (0.634)52
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 52W
SOS Hard
10
Minnesota TimberwolvesIN
Northwest · 49-33 (0.598)49
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 49W
SOS Hard
11
Atlanta HawksIN
Southeast · 46-36 (0.561)46
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div >99%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 46W
SOS Hard
12
Toronto RaptorsIN
Atlantic · 46-36 (0.561)46
W
Make Playoffs>99%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 46W
SOS Hard
13
Philadelphia 76ersP-IN
Atlantic · 45-37 (0.549)45
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In>99%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 45W
SOS Hard
14
Phoenix SunsP-IN
Pacific · 45-37 (0.549)45
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In>99%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 46W
SOS Hard
15
Orlando MagicP-IN
Southeast · 45-37 (0.549)45
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In>99%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 46W
SOS Hard
16
Charlotte HornetsP-IN
Southeast · 44-38 (0.537)44
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In>99%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 45W
SOS Easy
17
Miami HeatP-IN
Southeast · 43-39 (0.524)43
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In>99%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 43W
SOS Easy
18
LA ClippersP-IN
Pacific · 42-40 (0.512)42
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In>99%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 42W
SOS Easy
19
Portland Trail BlazersP-IN
Northwest · 42-40 (0.512)42
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In>99%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 42W
SOS Hard
20
Golden State WarriorsP-IN
Pacific · 37-45 (0.451)37
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In>99%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 37W
SOS Easy
21
Milwaukee Bucks
Central · 32-50 (0.390)32
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 32W
SOS Easy
22
Chicago Bulls
Central · 31-51 (0.378)31
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 31W
SOS Easy
23
New Orleans Pelicans
Southwest · 26-56 (0.317)26
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 26W
SOS Easy
24
Dallas Mavericks
Southwest · 26-56 (0.317)26
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 26W
SOS Easy
25
Memphis Grizzlies
Southwest · 25-57 (0.305)25
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 25W
SOS Easy
26
Sacramento Kings
Pacific · 22-60 (0.268)22
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 22W
SOS Easy
27
Utah Jazz
Northwest · 22-60 (0.268)22
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 22W
SOS Easy
28
Brooklyn Nets
Atlantic · 20-62 (0.244)20
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 20W
SOS Easy
29
Indiana Pacers
Central · 19-63 (0.232)19
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 19W
SOS Easy
30
Washington Wizards
Southeast · 17-65 (0.207)17
W
Make Playoffs<1%
Play-In<1%
Win Div <1%
Win Conf <1%
Proj 17W
SOS Easy
| Team | Wⓘ | Lⓘ | W%ⓘ | Playoffsⓘ↓ | Play-Inⓘ | Win Divⓘ | Win Confⓘ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 18 | 0.780 | >99% | <1% | >99% | >99% | |
| 62 | 20 | 0.756 | >99% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 60 | 22 | 0.732 | >99% | <1% | >99% | >99% | |
| 56 | 26 | 0.683 | >99% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 54 | 28 | 0.659 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 53 | 29 | 0.646 | >99% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 53 | 29 | 0.646 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 52 | 30 | 0.634 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 52 | 30 | 0.634 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 49 | 33 | 0.598 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 46 | 36 | 0.561 | >99% | <1% | >99% | <1% | |
| 46 | 36 | 0.561 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 45 | 37 | 0.549 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | |
| 45 | 37 | 0.549 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | |
| 45 | 37 | 0.549 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | |
| 44 | 38 | 0.537 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | |
| 43 | 39 | 0.524 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | |
| 42 | 40 | 0.512 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | |
| 42 | 40 | 0.512 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | |
| 37 | 45 | 0.451 | <1% | >99% | <1% | <1% | |
| 32 | 50 | 0.390 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 31 | 51 | 0.378 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 26 | 56 | 0.317 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 26 | 56 | 0.317 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 25 | 57 | 0.305 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 22 | 60 | 0.268 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 22 | 60 | 0.268 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 20 | 62 | 0.244 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 19 | 63 | 0.232 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 17 | 65 | 0.207 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
IN = Direct playoff seed (top 6 per conference)P-IN = Play-In Tournament (seeds 7–10)Data through 2026-04-15 · 25,000 simulations
ℹ️
Playoff probabilities are generated using a proprietary simulation model that accounts for current standings, remaining schedule, and team strength. Odds update every morning at 9 AM ET after the previous night's games are final. For informational and entertainment purposes only.