2025–26 NBA Season
Golden State Warriors
Pacific Division · West · 0 games left
<1%
±0.0%
West seed #10
>99%
±0.0%
Seeds 7–10
<1%
±0.0%
Pacific
<1%
±0.0%
West Conference
Pacific Division
| Team | W | L | W% | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Los Angeles Lakers | 53 | 29 | 0.646 | >99% |
 Phoenix Suns | 45 | 37 | 0.549 | <1% |
 LA Clippers | 42 | 40 | 0.512 | <1% |
| Golden State Warriors | 37 | 45 | 0.451 | <1% |
 Sacramento Kings | 22 | 60 | 0.268 | <1% |
The Golden State Warriors currently have a <1% chance of making the 2025–26 NBA playoffs and a >99% chance of reaching the Play-In Tournament. They are projected to finish with 37.4 wins over 0 remaining games. Probabilities are updated daily at 9 AM ET using 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining NBA schedule.
Golden State Warriors 2025–26 Playoff Outlook
The Golden State Warriors concluded the 2025-26 season with a record of 37-45, placing them 10th in the Western Conference. With all 82 games played, their final win total is 37. They are part of the Pacific Division.
Based on their final standing, the Warriors have a 0% probability of securing a direct playoff berth (top-6 seed). However, they have a 100% probability of participating in the Play-In Tournament, indicating their path to the playoffs will require success in that format.
Season Narrative
The 2025-26 season saw the Golden State Warriors finish with a 37-45 record, positioning them as the 10th seed in the competitive Western Conference. Their performance resulted in a 0% probability of winning their division and a 0% probability of winning the conference, demonstrating their struggle to compete for top-tier standings.
What Needs to Happen
With the 2025-26 regular season concluded and the Golden State Warriors finishing 10th in the Western Conference, their only path forward is through the Play-In Tournament. They have a 100% probability of participating in this tournament, where they must win to advance to the official playoff bracket.
Frequently Asked Questions
Analysis based on simulation data through 2026-04-14. Updated daily after each simulation run.