The New Orleans Pelicans have a 1% chance to make the 2026–27 NBA playoffs with a 4-8 record. Play-In: 4% · Win Division: <1% · Win Conference: <1%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | 1% |
| Play-In | 4% |
| Win Division | <1% |
| Win Conference | <1% |
| Win NBA Finals | <1% |
The New Orleans Pelicans lead the Western Conference at 4-8 after 12 games, holding a direct playoff spot.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 4-8 |
| Win percentage | .333 |
| Games played | 12 |
| Place in the Southwest Division | 5th |
| Place in the Western Conference | — |
| Next game | 2026-11-13 vs Memphis Grizzlies |
| Rank | Team | Record | PCT | GP | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio Spurs | 10-2 | .833 | 12 | — |
| 2 | Houston Rockets | 9-3 | .750 | 12 | 1.0 |
| 3 | Memphis Grizzlies | 7-4 | .636 | 11 | 2.5 |
| 4 | Dallas Mavericks | 7-5 | .583 | 12 | 3.0 |
| 5 | New Orleans Pelicans | 4-8 | .333 | 12 | 6.0 |
The New Orleans Pelicans currently hold a 4-8 record after 12 games in the 2026–27 NBA season, placing them at #12 in the Western Conference standings. With 70 games remaining, they are part of the Southwest Division, competing in a conference where the top 6 teams qualify directly for the playoffs and seeds 7-10 enter the Play-In Tournament.
Their playoff probability, which accounts for both a direct top-6 seed and a path through the Play-In Tournament, stands at 1%. Specifically for the Play-In Tournament (seeds 7-10), their chances are 4%. The Pelicans currently hold 0% probabilities for winning their Division or the Conference in the 2026–27 season.
The New Orleans Pelicans' 2026–27 season has seen them start with a 4-8 record through their first 12 games. With 70 games left, their projected final win total is 26. The team faces a challenging path ahead, as their remaining schedule is rated as 'Hard'.
For the New Orleans Pelicans to significantly improve their 1% playoff probability or their 4% Play-In Tournament probability for the 2026–27 season, a substantial turnaround is required. With a 'Hard' remaining schedule and 70 games left, the team must overcome considerable challenges to exceed their projected 26 final wins and climb from their #12 conference rank in the Western Conference.
Based on current projections for the 2026–27 season, the New Orleans Pelicans have a 1% probability of making the playoffs, which includes both securing a top-6 seed or qualifying through the Play-In Tournament.
The New Orleans Pelicans' playoff odds for the 2026–27 season are 1% to make the playoffs (top-6 seed or Play-In Tournament). Their specific probability of qualifying for the Play-In Tournament (seeds 7-10) is 4%.
As of the current 2026–27 season, the New Orleans Pelicans hold a 4-8 record and are ranked #12 in the Western Conference.
The New Orleans Pelicans are currently projected to finish the 2026–27 season with 26 wins.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-11-12. How it works.