The Memphis Grizzlies have a 33% chance to make the 2026–27 NBA playoffs with a 7-4 record. Play-In: 59% · Win Division: 1% · Win Conference: <1%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | 33% |
| Play-In | 59% |
| Win Division | 1% |
| Win Conference | <1% |
| Win NBA Finals | <1% |
The Memphis Grizzlies lead the Western Conference at 7-4 after 11 games, holding a direct playoff spot.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 7-4 |
| Win percentage | .636 |
| Games played | 11 |
| Place in the Southwest Division | 3rd |
| Place in the Western Conference | — |
| Next game | 2026-11-13 at New Orleans Pelicans |
| Rank | Team | Record | PCT | GP | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio Spurs | 10-2 | .833 | 12 | — |
| 2 | Houston Rockets | 9-3 | .750 | 12 | 1.0 |
| 3 | Memphis Grizzlies | 7-4 | .636 | 11 | 2.5 |
| 4 | Dallas Mavericks | 7-5 | .583 | 12 | 3.0 |
| 5 | New Orleans Pelicans | 4-8 | .333 | 12 | 6.0 |
The Memphis Grizzlies, representing the Southwest Division in the Western Conference, currently hold a 7-4 record in the 2026–27 season after 11 games. This places them at the #8 spot in the Western Conference standings. With 71 games remaining, they are positioned within the Play-In Tournament zone as per the NBA's 2026–27 playoff format, where seeds 7-10 participate.
The team's playoff probability for the 2026–27 season is currently 33%, which includes both a direct top-6 seed qualification and success through the Play-In Tournament. Additionally, the Grizzlies have a 59% chance of making the Play-In Tournament (seeds 7-10). Their probabilities for winning the Southwest Division and the Western Conference are 1% and 0% respectively.
The Memphis Grizzlies have commenced the 2026–27 season with a 7-4 record through their first 11 games. This start projects them to finish the season with approximately 41 wins. The team faces a challenging path ahead, as their remaining schedule is rated as Hard, indicating a difficult stretch for the remaining 71 games of the 2026–27 campaign.
To improve their standing in the 2026–27 Western Conference, the Memphis Grizzlies must navigate a challenging remaining schedule. Currently ranked #8 with a 33% playoff probability, a strong performance in the upcoming 71 games will be crucial to solidify a direct playoff berth or secure a favorable position within the Play-In Tournament. Maximizing wins against a Hard schedule will be key to exceeding their projected 41 total wins and enhancing their postseason outlook.
Based on current projections for the 2026–27 season, the Memphis Grizzlies have a 33% probability of making the playoffs, which includes qualifying directly as a top-6 seed or advancing through the Play-In Tournament.
The Memphis Grizzlies' playoff odds for the 2026–27 season are 33%. This accounts for their chances of securing a top-6 seed or successfully navigating the Play-In Tournament (seeds 7-10).
For the 2026–27 season, the Memphis Grizzlies have a 59% probability of participating in the Play-In Tournament, which involves teams ranked 7th through 10th in their conference.
As of the current 2026–27 season, the Memphis Grizzlies hold a 7-4 record after 11 games and are ranked #8 in the Western Conference standings.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-11-12. How it works.