The Tampa Bay Lightning have a 94% chance to make the 2026–27 NHL playoffs with a 13-4-2 record. Win Division: 41% · Wild Card: 11% · Presidents' Trophy: 12%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | 94% |
| Win Division | 41% |
| Wild Card | 11% |
| Presidents' Trophy | 12% |
| Win Stanley Cup | 10% |
The Tampa Bay Lightning lead the Atlantic Division at 13-4-2 (28 points) after 19 games.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 13-4-2 |
| Points | 28 |
| Games played | 19 |
| Place in the Atlantic Division | 1st |
| Place in the Eastern Conference | 2nd |
| Goals for / against | 74 / 57 (+17) |
| Next game | 2026-11-14 vs Detroit Red Wings |
| Rank | Team | Record | PTS | GP | GF | GA | DIFF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 13-4-2 | 28 | 19 | 74 | 57 | +17 |
| 2 | Montréal Canadiens | 12-3-4 | 28 | 19 | 67 | 57 | +10 |
| 3 | Boston Bruins | 13-5-1 | 27 | 19 | 70 | 46 | +24 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators | 12-6-2 | 26 | 20 | 64 | 60 | +4 |
| 5 | Florida Panthers | 11-7-2 | 24 | 20 | 65 | 60 | +5 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 8-7-4 | 20 | 19 | 55 | 68 | -13 |
| 7 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 8-11-2 | 18 | 21 | 69 | 75 | -6 |
| 8 | Detroit Red Wings | 7-10-3 | 17 | 20 | 55 | 64 | -9 |
The Tampa Bay Lightning are off to a strong start in the 2026–27 season, currently holding a 13-4-2 record through 19 games, accumulating 28 points. This places them second in the Atlantic Division and fourth in the Eastern Conference. With 65 games remaining, the team is projected to finish the season with an impressive 112 points, positioning them firmly within playoff contention.
For fans, these statistics translate into a highly optimistic outlook. The Lightning boast a formidable 94% probability of making the playoffs this season. Furthermore, the team has a significant 41% chance to win the Atlantic Division title and an 11% chance to secure a Wild Card spot, underscoring their strong position. A 12% probability of winning the Presidents' Trophy also highlights their potential for a top regular-season performance.
The 2026–27 season for the Tampa Bay Lightning has been characterized by consistent performance, as evidenced by their 13-4-2 record over 19 games. The team has demonstrated a strong offensive and defensive balance, scoring 74 goals while only conceding 57, resulting in a healthy +17 goal differential. This positive differential, averaging 0.89 goals per game, reflects their effective play and sets a solid foundation for the remaining 65 games.
To maintain or improve their current standing, the Tampa Bay Lightning must continue their consistent play, particularly their strong goal differential of +17. Sustaining their current pace and converting their projected 112 points into reality will be crucial for securing a top-three divisional spot. With 65 games left, continued strong performance is essential to capitalize on their 94% playoff probability and compete for the Atlantic Division title.
Yes, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a very high probability of making the playoffs in the 2026–27 season. Their current probability stands at an impressive 94%, reflecting their strong start with a 13-4-2 record and 28 points.
The Lightning's playoff odds are currently 94% to make the postseason. Additionally, they have a 41% probability of winning the Atlantic Division and an 11% chance of securing a Wild Card spot.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are currently ranked second in the Atlantic Division. They hold a 13-4-2 record with 28 points through 19 games, positioning them well within the top three divisional spots for playoff contention.
Yes, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a notable chance at winning the Presidents' Trophy in the 2026–27 season. Their current probability for this achievement is 12%, indicative of their strong overall performance and projected 112 points.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-11-12. How it works.