In The Playoffs

2025–26 NHL Season

Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Tampa Bay Lightning

Atlantic Division · Eastern · 0 games left

Points

106

50-26-6 record

Points %

64.6%

82 games played

Goal Diff

+59

290 GF · 231 GA

Proj. Points

106.0

0 games remaining

Playoff Probability Breakdown

Make Playoffs
>99%
±0.0%
Win Division
<1%
±0.0%
Wild Card
<1%
±0.0%
Pres. Trophy
<1%
±0.0%

Remaining Schedule

Home0games at home
Away0games on road
Games In Hand0vs. Philadelphia Flyers
ScheduleEasy50% avg opp playoff prob

The Tampa Bay Lightning currently have a 100% chance of making the 2025–26 NHL playoffs, a 0% chance of winning the Atlantic Division, and are projected to finish with 106.0 points over 0 remaining games. Probabilities are updated daily at 9 AM ET using 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining NHL schedule.

Playoff Probability Trend

View all teams →
10-1512-0301-2103-1103-3104-0704-150%25%50%75%100%
Make PlayoffsWin Division

Team Stat Rankings

2025–26 Season · Rank out of 32 teams

1–8 Elite9–16 Good17–24 Mid25–32 Poor
Offense
Rank

Goals For / GP

Offense scoring

3.494

Shots For / GP

Shot generation

28.1115

Power Play %

PP efficiency

20.7%17

Faceoff Win %

Puck possession

47.4%28
Defense
Rank

Goals Against / GP

Defense conceded

2.793

Shots Against / GP

Shot suppression

26.708

Penalty Kill %

PK efficiency

82.6%3

Tampa Bay Lightning 2025–26 Playoff Outlook

The Tampa Bay Lightning have concluded their 2025-26 regular season with a strong record of 50-26-6, accumulating 106 points over 82 games. This performance has secured their place in the postseason, as their Make Playoffs probability stands at a perfect 100%. They finished with 0 remaining games, solidifying their final standing.

For fans, this means the Lightning are guaranteed to compete for the Stanley Cup this year. While their probability of winning the Division or the Presidents' Trophy is 0%, their confirmed playoff berth ensures an exciting postseason journey ahead. The team's projected final points align perfectly with their current total of 106.

Season Narrative

The 2025-26 season for the Tampa Bay Lightning has been defined by consistent performance, culminating in a 50-26-6 record and 106 points. This strong showing across 82 games has been sufficient to secure a playoff spot, reflecting a balanced effort throughout the regular season. Their ability to maintain a winning record has been a key factor in their postseason qualification.

What Needs to Happen

With a 100% probability of making the playoffs, the Tampa Bay Lightning's immediate outlook is focused on postseason success. While the team's 0% probability for winning the Division or Presidents' Trophy indicates their regular season ceiling has been reached, their strong 106 points suggest they are well-positioned for a competitive playoff run. Sustaining their current level of play will be crucial for advancing.

Frequently Asked Questions

Analysis based on simulation data through 2026-04-15. Updated daily after each simulation run.

Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates 9 AM ET daily · For informational purposes onlyHow it worksData through 2026-05-12