The Toronto Maple Leafs have a 8% chance to make the 2026–27 NHL playoffs with a 8-11-2 record. Win Division: <1% · Wild Card: 6% · Presidents' Trophy: <1%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | 8% |
| Win Division | <1% |
| Wild Card | 6% |
| Presidents' Trophy | <1% |
| Win Stanley Cup | <1% |
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 7th in the Atlantic Division at 8-11-2 (18 points) after 21 games, 10 points behind the Tampa Bay Lightning.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 8-11-2 |
| Points | 18 |
| Games played | 21 |
| Place in the Atlantic Division | 7th |
| Place in the Eastern Conference | 12th |
| Goals for / against | 69 / 75 (-6) |
| Next game | 2026-11-14 vs Edmonton Oilers |
| Rank | Team | Record | PTS | GP | GF | GA | DIFF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 13-4-2 | 28 | 19 | 74 | 57 | +17 |
| 2 | Montréal Canadiens | 12-3-4 | 28 | 19 | 67 | 57 | +10 |
| 3 | Boston Bruins | 13-5-1 | 27 | 19 | 70 | 46 | +24 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators | 12-6-2 | 26 | 20 | 64 | 60 | +4 |
| 5 | Florida Panthers | 11-7-2 | 24 | 20 | 65 | 60 | +5 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 8-7-4 | 20 | 19 | 55 | 68 | -13 |
| 7 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 8-11-2 | 18 | 21 | 69 | 75 | -6 |
| 8 | Detroit Red Wings | 7-10-3 | 17 | 20 | 55 | 64 | -9 |
The Toronto Maple Leafs currently hold an 8-11-2 record through 21 games in the 2026–27 season, accumulating 18 points. This places them 7th in the Atlantic Division and 12th in the Eastern Conference. With 63 games remaining, the team faces a significant challenge to climb the standings from their current position, holding a -6 goal differential (69 goals for, 75 goals against).
Statistical models project the Maple Leafs have an 8% chance of making the playoffs this season. Their Wild Card probability is 6%, indicating a narrow path to postseason contention. The probability of winning the Atlantic Division or the Presidents' Trophy is currently 0%, reflecting their current standing and points deficit. This data suggests a challenging road ahead for the team to secure a playoff berth.
The Toronto Maple Leafs have navigated the initial 21 games of the 2026–27 season with an 8-11-2 record, totaling 18 points. This start places them 7th in the Atlantic Division and 12th in the Eastern Conference. The team's offensive and defensive performance has resulted in a -6 goal differential, with 69 goals scored and 75 goals against. With 63 games remaining, the Maple Leafs must significantly alter their trajectory to improve their standing.
For the Toronto Maple Leafs to improve their current 7th place Atlantic Division standing and 12th place Eastern Conference position, a substantial upturn in performance is required. Over the remaining 63 games, they must reverse their negative goal differential of -6 and consistently secure points. Achieving their projected final points total of 81 would necessitate a stronger record going forward to climb into playoff contention, which currently holds an 8% probability.
The Toronto Maple Leafs currently have an 8% probability of making the playoffs in the 2026–27 season. Their current record of 8-11-2 places them 12th in the Eastern Conference, indicating a challenging path to postseason qualification.
The Leafs' playoff odds for the 2026–27 season are currently 8%. Specifically, their Wild Card probability stands at 6%, while their chances of winning the Atlantic Division are 0%.
The Toronto Maple Leafs currently have a 0% probability of winning the Atlantic Division in the 2026–27 season. They are presently ranked 7th in the division with 18 points through 21 games, facing a significant deficit.
The Toronto Maple Leafs possess a 6% probability of securing a Wild Card spot in the 2026–27 Eastern Conference playoffs. To achieve this, they would need a strong performance over their remaining 63 games to overcome their current 12th conference ranking and 18 points.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-11-12. How it works.