The Montréal Canadiens have a 87% chance to make the 2026–27 NHL playoffs with a 12-3-4 record. Win Division: 21% · Wild Card: 19% · Presidents' Trophy: 5%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | 87% |
| Win Division | 21% |
| Wild Card | 19% |
| Presidents' Trophy | 5% |
| Win Stanley Cup | 4% |
The Montréal Canadiens are 2nd in the Atlantic Division at 12-3-4 (28 points) after 19 games, level on points with the Tampa Bay Lightning.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Record (W-L-OTL) | 12-3-4 |
| Points | 28 |
| Games played | 19 |
| Place in the Atlantic Division | 2nd |
| Place in the Eastern Conference | 3rd |
| Goals for / against | 67 / 57 (+10) |
| Next game | 2026-11-14 vs Colorado Avalanche |
| Rank | Team | Record | PTS | GP | GF | GA | DIFF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 13-4-2 | 28 | 19 | 74 | 57 | +17 |
| 2 | Montréal Canadiens | 12-3-4 | 28 | 19 | 67 | 57 | +10 |
| 3 | Boston Bruins | 13-5-1 | 27 | 19 | 70 | 46 | +24 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators | 12-6-2 | 26 | 20 | 64 | 60 | +4 |
| 5 | Florida Panthers | 11-7-2 | 24 | 20 | 65 | 60 | +5 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 8-7-4 | 20 | 19 | 55 | 68 | -13 |
| 7 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 8-11-2 | 18 | 21 | 69 | 75 | -6 |
| 8 | Detroit Red Wings | 7-10-3 | 17 | 20 | 55 | 64 | -9 |
The Montréal Canadiens are off to a strong start in the 2026–27 season, currently holding a 12-3-4 record through 19 games. This performance has earned them 28 points, placing them first in the Atlantic Division and second in the Eastern Conference. With 65 games remaining in the season, the team is well-positioned to maintain its competitive standing.
Fans have strong reason for optimism, as the Canadiens currently boast an 87% probability of making the playoffs. While their chances of winning the Atlantic Division are at 21%, a significant 19% probability exists for securing a Wild Card spot. The team also holds a 5% chance of winning the Presidents' Trophy, reflecting their strong start.
The 2026–27 season has seen the Montréal Canadiens establish a solid foundation, achieving a 12-3-4 record over their initial 19 games. This strong start is complemented by a positive goal differential, having scored 67 goals while only conceding 57, resulting in a healthy +10 differential, or 0.53 goals per game. With 65 games left, the team has demonstrated consistency early on.
To maintain their current first-place position in the Atlantic Division and improve their 21% chance of winning it, the Canadiens must continue their consistent performance over the remaining 65 games. Sustaining their positive goal differential of +10 and converting their strong start into continued victories will be crucial. Achieving their projected 108 final points will solidify their playoff berth and potentially improve their seeding within the Eastern Conference.
Yes, the Montréal Canadiens have a very strong probability of making the playoffs in the 2026–27 season. Their current playoff probability stands at 87% based on their performance through 19 games.
The Canadiens' playoff odds are currently 87%. They also have a 21% chance of winning the Atlantic Division and a 19% chance of securing a Wild Card spot.
The Montréal Canadiens currently hold a 21% probability of winning the Atlantic Division. They are presently ranked first in the division, giving them a solid foundation to build upon.
While it's a long shot, the Montréal Canadiens do have a 5% probability of winning the Presidents' Trophy this season. Their strong start with 28 points and a second-place conference ranking positions them favorably for such an achievement.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-11-12. How it works.