How are NHL playoff probabilities calculated?

Playoff probabilities on In The Playoffs are calculated using 25,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining NHL schedule. Each simulation uses Elo-based win probability adjusted for home ice advantage and rest. The model then applies official NHL tiebreaker rules to determine which 16 teams qualify for the playoffs in each simulation. The probability shown is the percentage of simulations in which a team makes the playoffs.

How often are NHL playoff odds updated?

NHL playoff probabilities on In The Playoffs are updated every day at 5 AM ET, incorporating the previous night's game results and the latest standings.

How does the NHL wild card work?

The NHL playoffs include 16 teams: the top 3 teams from each of the four divisions, plus two wild card teams from each conference. Wild card spots go to the two non-division-winner teams in each conference with the most points. In The Playoffs tracks both division winner probability and wild card probability separately for each team.

Which NHL teams are on the playoff bubble?

Bubble teams are those with playoff probabilities between 10% and 75%. In The Playoffs shows real-time probabilities for all 32 NHL teams, making it easy to identify which teams are in danger of missing the playoffs in the 2025-26 season.

What is the Presidents' Trophy in the NHL?

The Presidents' Trophy is awarded to the NHL team with the best regular season record (most points). In The Playoffs tracks the probability of each team winning the Presidents' Trophy based on Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.

NBA Playoff Probability 2025–26 — All 30 Teams

2025–26 NBA Playoff Probability — All 30 Teams

Oklahoma City ThunderIN

Northwest · 58-16 (0.784)

Make Playoffs>99%

Team	W	L	W%	REM	Playoffs↓	Play-In	Win Div	Win Conf	Proj W	SOS
1 Oklahoma City ThunderIN Northwest	58	16	0.784	8	>99%	<1%	>99%	91%	62.7	Average
2 San Antonio SpursIN Southwest	55	18	0.753	9	>99%	<1%	>99%	9%	60.5	Average
3 Detroit PistonsIN Central	53	20	0.726	9	>99%	<1%	>99%	99%	58.1	Average
4 Boston CelticsIN Atlantic	49	24	0.671	9	>99%	<1%	71%	1%	54.1	Average
5 Los Angeles LakersIN Pacific	48	26	0.649	8	>99%	<1%	>99%	<1%	52.7	Average
6 New York KnicksIN Atlantic	48	26	0.649	8	>99%	<1%	29%	<1%	52.4	Average
7 Cleveland CavaliersIN Central	46	28	0.622	8	>99%	<1%	<1%	<1%	50.8	Average
8 Denver NuggetsIN Northwest	47	28	0.627	7	>99%	<1%	<1%	<1%	50.9	Average
9 Minnesota TimberwolvesIN Northwest	45	28	0.616	9	>99%	<1%	<1%	<1%	50.0	Average
10 Houston RocketsIN Southwest	44	29	0.603	9	99%	1%	<1%	<1%	49.2	Average
11 Toronto RaptorsIN Atlantic	41	32	0.562	9	76%	24%	<1%	<1%	45.9	Average
12 Atlanta HawksIN Southeast	41	33	0.554	8	41%	59%	49%	<1%	45.3	Average
13 Philadelphia 76ersP-IN Atlantic	40	33	0.548	9	39%	61%	<1%	<1%	44.7	Average
14 Miami HeatP-IN Southeast	39	35	0.527	8	20%	80%	19%	<1%	43.5	Average
15 Charlotte HornetsP-IN Southeast	39	34	0.534	9	13%	87%	17%	<1%	43.7	Average
16 Orlando MagicP-IN Southeast	39	34	0.534	9	11%	89%	15%	<1%	43.6	Average
17 Phoenix SunsP-IN Pacific	40	33	0.548	9	1%	99%	<1%	<1%	44.8	Average
18 LA ClippersP-IN Pacific	38	36	0.514	8	<1%	>99%	<1%	<1%	42.2	Average
19 Portland Trail BlazersP-IN Northwest	37	38	0.493	7	<1%	>99%	<1%	<1%	40.8	Average
20 Golden State WarriorsP-IN Pacific	36	38	0.486	8	<1%	>99%	<1%	<1%	40.0	Average
21 Chicago Bulls Central	29	44	0.397	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	33.5	Average
22 Milwaukee Bucks Central	29	43	0.403	10	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	33.8	Average
23 New Orleans Pelicans Southwest	25	50	0.333	7	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	27.9	Average
24 Memphis Grizzlies Southwest	24	49	0.329	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	27.6	Average
25 Dallas Mavericks Southwest	24	50	0.324	8	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	27.0	Average
26 Utah Jazz Northwest	21	53	0.284	8	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	23.7	Average
27 Sacramento Kings Pacific	19	55	0.257	8	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	21.9	Average
28 Brooklyn Nets Atlantic	17	57	0.230	8	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	20.3	Average
29 Washington Wizards Southeast	17	56	0.233	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	20.0	Average
30 Indiana Pacers Central	16	58	0.216	8	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	18.5	Average