The Indianapolis Colts have a 10% chance to make the 2026 NFL playoffs with a 2-5 record in the AFC South. Win Division: 6% · Wild Card: 4% · First-Round Bye: <1% · Super Bowl: <1%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | 10% |
| Win Division | 6% |
| Wild Card | 4% |
| First-Round Bye | <1% |
| Reach the Super Bowl | 1% |
| Win the Super Bowl | <1% |
The Indianapolis Colts are 2nd in the AFC South at 2-5 and sit outside the AFC playoff field, chasing the Jacksonville Jaguars, with 10 games left to play.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Place in the AFC South | 2nd |
| Place in the AFC | 12th |
| Current playoff seed | Outside the field |
| Games remaining | 10 |
| Point differential | -26 |
The Indianapolis Colts are 2-5 through 7 games of the 2026 season, with 10 games remaining. Their current playoff outlook is a 10% chance to make the playoffs, 6% to win the division, 4% as a Wild Card, <1% for a first-round bye, and <1% to win the Super Bowl.
Through 7 games, the Indianapolis Colts have a 2-5 record. The model currently projects 7 wins, based on 100,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
The Indianapolis Colts can improve their postseason position by converting the remaining schedule into wins. Current model probabilities are a 10% chance to make the playoffs, 6% to win the division, 4% as a Wild Card, <1% for a first-round bye, and <1% to win the Super Bowl; these figures will update after the next simulation run.
According to our Monte Carlo simulation model (updated 2026-10-30), the Indianapolis Colts have a 10% chance to make the 2026 NFL playoffs. Their current record is 2-5. Win Division probability: 6%. Wild Card probability: 4%. Super Bowl probability: <1%.
The Indianapolis Colts 2026 NFL playoff odds: Make Playoffs 10%, Win the AFC South 6%, Wild Card 4%, First-Round Bye <1%, Super Bowl <1%. These odds are calculated daily using 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
The Indianapolis Colts are 2nd in the AFC South at 2-5 and sit outside the AFC playoff field, chasing the Jacksonville Jaguars, with 10 games left to play.
The Indianapolis Colts have a <1% chance of earning the AFC's No. 1 seed as of 2026-10-30. That top seed is the only first-round bye in the conference — every other playoff team, seeds 2 through 7, plays on wild card weekend.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-10-30. How it works.