All 32 NFL teams ranked for the 2026 season, ordered by playoff tier and a power rating derived from the same daily simulation that produces our playoff odds. Minnesota Vikings currently rank first at a 93% chance to reach the postseason. Rankings are fully model-driven and refresh every morning at 9 AM ET.
| Rank | Team | Tier | Record | Power Rating | Make Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Vikings | A — Strong Contenders | 6-0 | 90 | 93% |
| 2 | San Francisco 49ers | A — Strong Contenders | 6-1 | 83 | 94% |
| 3 | Kansas City Chiefs | A — Strong Contenders | 5-1 | 77 | 87% |
| 4 | Buffalo Bills | A — Strong Contenders | 5-1 | 74 | 87% |
| 5 | Jacksonville Jaguars | A — Strong Contenders | 4-2 | 72 | 90% |
| 6 | Cincinnati Bengals | B — In the Mix | 4-2 | 66 | 78% |
| 7 | Chicago Bears | B — In the Mix | 5-2 | 63 | 68% |
| 8 | Denver Broncos | B — In the Mix | 5-2 | 60 | 78% |
| 9 | Pittsburgh Steelers | B — In the Mix | 5-2 | 59 | 68% |
| 10 | Seattle Seahawks | B — In the Mix | 4-3 | 59 | 73% |
| 11 | Detroit Lions | B — In the Mix | 4-2 | 56 | 61% |
| 12 | New England Patriots | B — In the Mix | 4-3 | 54 | 75% |
| 13 | New York Giants | B — In the Mix | 4-2-1 | 50 | 58% |
| 14 | Green Bay Packers | B — In the Mix | 5-3 | 48 | 52% |
| 15 | Cleveland Browns | B — In the Mix | 5-2 | 48 | 50% |
| 16 | Baltimore Ravens | C — Bubble Teams | 4-3 | 39 | 35% |
| 17 | Dallas Cowboys | C — Bubble Teams | 3-4 | 34 | 36% |
| 18 | Los Angeles Rams | C — Bubble Teams | 3-4 | 34 | 33% |
| 19 | Atlanta Falcons | C — Bubble Teams | 3-4 | 32 | 38% |
| 20 | Carolina Panthers | C — Bubble Teams | 3-4 | 27 | 29% |
| 21 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | C — Bubble Teams | 2-5 | 26 | 32% |
| 22 | Houston Texans | C — Bubble Teams | 2-5 | 20 | 21% |
| 23 | Las Vegas Raiders | D — Long Shots | 3-4 | 23 | 13% |
| 24 | New York Jets | D — Long Shots | 2-5 | 13 | 6% |
| 25 | Indianapolis Colts | D — Long Shots | 2-5 | 12 | 10% |
| 26 | New Orleans Saints | D — Long Shots | 2-5 | 12 | 13% |
| 27 | Philadelphia Eagles | D — Long Shots | 2-5 | 7 | 9% |
| 28 | Washington Commanders | D — Long Shots | 1-4-1 | 6 | 9% |
| 29 | Arizona Cardinals | F — Eliminated / Faded | 2-5 | 2 | 2% |
| 30 | Tennessee Titans | F — Eliminated / Faded | 1-6 | -2 | 1% |
| 31 | Miami Dolphins | F — Eliminated / Faded | 1-5 | -5 | 2% |
| 32 | Los Angeles Chargers | F — Eliminated / Faded | 0-6 | -14 | 1% |
Teams are grouped into tiers by playoff probability (S: 95%+, A: 80–95%, B: 50–80%, C: 20–50%, D: 5–20%, F: under 5%), then ordered within each tier by a power rating that blends winning percentage, playoff probability, and scoring differential. Every input is recomputed each morning from the latest simulation run — no human voting is involved.
Rankings recomputed daily at 9 AM ET from 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations · data through 2026-10-30.