The Las Vegas Raiders have a 13% chance to make the 2026 NFL playoffs with a 3-4 record in the AFC West. Win Division: 3% · Wild Card: 10% · First-Round Bye: <1% · Super Bowl: <1%. Updated daily via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Make Playoffs | 13% |
| Win Division | 3% |
| Wild Card | 10% |
| First-Round Bye | <1% |
| Reach the Super Bowl | 1% |
| Win the Super Bowl | <1% |
The Las Vegas Raiders are 3rd in the AFC West at 3-4 and sit outside the AFC playoff field, chasing the Denver Broncos, with 10 games left to play.
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Place in the AFC West | 3rd |
| Place in the AFC | 10th |
| Current playoff seed | Outside the field |
| Games remaining | 10 |
| Point differential | -14 |
The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-4 through 7 games of the 2026 season, with 10 games remaining. Their current playoff outlook is a 13% chance to make the playoffs, 3% to win the division, 10% as a Wild Card, <1% for a first-round bye, and <1% to win the Super Bowl.
Through 7 games, the Las Vegas Raiders have a 3-4 record. The model currently projects 7 wins, based on 100,000 simulations of the remaining schedule.
The Las Vegas Raiders can improve their postseason position by converting the remaining schedule into wins. Current model probabilities are a 13% chance to make the playoffs, 3% to win the division, 10% as a Wild Card, <1% for a first-round bye, and <1% to win the Super Bowl; these figures will update after the next simulation run.
According to our Monte Carlo simulation model (updated 2026-10-30), the Las Vegas Raiders have a 13% chance to make the 2026 NFL playoffs. Their current record is 3-4. Win Division probability: 3%. Wild Card probability: 10%. Super Bowl probability: <1%.
The Las Vegas Raiders 2026 NFL playoff odds: Make Playoffs 13%, Win the AFC West 3%, Wild Card 10%, First-Round Bye <1%, Super Bowl <1%. These odds are calculated daily using 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule.
The Las Vegas Raiders are 3rd in the AFC West at 3-4 and sit outside the AFC playoff field, chasing the Denver Broncos, with 10 games left to play.
The Las Vegas Raiders have a <1% chance of earning the AFC's No. 1 seed as of 2026-10-30. That top seed is the only first-round bye in the conference — every other playoff team, seeds 2 through 7, plays on wild card weekend.
Probabilities generated via 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule · updated daily at 9 AM ET · data through 2026-10-30. How it works.