How every NFL team's playoff probability has moved across the 2026 season. Each morning's simulation is stored, so these are real changes in the model's output rather than a recalculated guess — the tables below show the teams that gained and lost the most playoff probability since we began tracking this season.
Not enough simulation history yet to compute movement.
Not enough simulation history yet to compute movement.
Movement is measured between stored simulation runs · data through 2026-08-25. How the odds are calculated.