In The Playoffs

2025–26 NHL Season

Ottawa Senators

Ottawa Senators

Atlantic Division · Eastern · 1 games left

Points

97

43-27-11 record

Points %

59.9%

81 games played

Goal Diff

+30

275 GF · 245 GA

Proj. Points

98.4

1 games remaining

Playoff Probability Breakdown

Make Playoffs
>99%
±0.0%
Win Division
<1%
±0.0%
Wild Card
>99%
±0.0%
Pres. Trophy
<1%
±0.0%

Remaining Schedule

Home1games at home
Away0games on road
Games In Hand-1vs. Philadelphia Flyers
ScheduleEasy0% avg opp playoff prob

The Ottawa Senators currently have a 100% chance of making the 2025–26 NHL playoffs, a 0% chance of winning the Atlantic Division, and are projected to finish with 98.4 points over 1 remaining games. Probabilities are updated daily at 9 AM ET using 25,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining NHL schedule.

Playoff Probability Trend

View all teams →
10-1511-2601-0702-1803-2704-0204-080%25%50%75%100%
Make PlayoffsWin Division

Team Stat Rankings

2025–26 Season · Rank out of 32 teams

1–8 Elite9–16 Good17–24 Mid25–32 Poor
Offense
Rank

Goals For / GP

Offense scoring

3.368

Shots For / GP

Shot generation

28.809

Power Play %

PP efficiency

23.5%8

Faceoff Win %

Puck possession

54.5%2
Defense
Rank

Goals Against / GP

Defense conceded

3.0113

Shots Against / GP

Shot suppression

24.463

Penalty Kill %

PK efficiency

75.5%29

Ottawa Senators 2025–26 Playoff Outlook

The Ottawa Senators currently hold a strong record of 43-27-10 through 80 games played in the 2025-26 NHL season, accumulating 96 points. With one game remaining on their schedule, they are projected to finish with 97 points. Despite their solid performance, they currently rank 0th in the Atlantic Division and 0th in the Eastern Conference, indicating a tight race or a position outside the top divisional spots.

Fans can be highly optimistic about the Senators' postseason chances, as their playoff probability stands at a commanding 100%. This guarantees their participation in the 2025-26 playoffs. While their probability of winning the Atlantic Division and the Presidents' Trophy is 0%, their 100% Wild Card probability confirms their path to the postseason will be through a Wild Card spot.

Season Narrative

The 2025-26 season has seen the Ottawa Senators compile a robust 43-27-10 record, demonstrating consistent performance over 80 games. Their ability to secure 96 points thus far, with a projected final tally of 97, suggests a team that has found ways to win, even if it hasn't translated into a top divisional seed. This strong points total has been the primary driver behind their guaranteed playoff berth.

What Needs to Happen

Moving forward, the Senators' focus will be on maintaining their strong form as they head into the playoffs. With a guaranteed Wild Card spot, their final regular-season game offers an opportunity to build momentum and refine their game. To make a deep playoff run, they will need to leverage their consistent performance and address any areas that prevented a higher divisional ranking, ensuring they are prepared for the intensity of postseason competition.

Frequently Asked Questions

Analysis based on simulation data through 2026-04-12. Updated daily after each simulation run.

Probabilities generated via 25,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates 9 AM ET daily · For informational purposes onlyHow it worksData through 2026-04-12