2025–26 NHL Season
Tampa Bay Lightning
Atlantic Division · Eastern · 2 games left
104
49-25-6 record
65.0%
80 games played
+60
284 GF · 224 GA
106.8
2 games remaining
Playoff Probability Breakdown
Remaining Schedule
The Tampa Bay Lightning currently have a 100% chance of making the 2025–26 NHL playoffs, a 19% chance of winning the Atlantic Division, and are projected to finish with 106.8 points over 2 remaining games. Probabilities are updated daily at 9 AM ET using 25,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining NHL schedule.
Atlantic Division Standings
| Team | PTS | W-L-OT | GP | REM | PLAYOFFS | WIN DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Montréal Canadiens | 106 | 48-23-10 | 81 | 1 | >99% | 4% |
2 Buffalo Sabres | 106 | 49-23-8 | 80 | 2 | >99% | 77% |
3 Tampa Bay Lightning | 104 | 49-25-6 | 80 | 2 | >99% | 19% |
4 Boston Bruins | 98 | 44-27-10 | 81 | 1 | >99% | <1% |
5 Ottawa Senators | 97 | 43-27-11 | 81 | 1 | >99% | <1% |
6 Detroit Red Wings | 91 | 41-30-9 | 80 | 2 | <1% | <1% |
7 Florida Panthers | 80 | 38-38-4 | 80 | 2 | <1% | <1% |
8 Toronto Maple Leafs | 78 | 32-34-14 | 80 | 2 | <1% | <1% |
Playoff Race Context
Team Stat Rankings
2025–26 Season · Rank out of 32 teams
Goals For / GP
Offense scoring
Shots For / GP
Shot generation
Power Play %
PP efficiency
Faceoff Win %
Puck possession
Goals Against / GP
Defense conceded
Shots Against / GP
Shot suppression
Penalty Kill %
PK efficiency
Updated daily
View all team rankings →Tampa Bay Lightning 2025–26 Playoff Outlook
The Tampa Bay Lightning currently hold a strong position in the 2025-26 NHL season with a record of 49-25-6 through 80 games, accumulating 104 points. With two games remaining in their schedule, they are projected to finish the season with 107 points. They have a 100% probability of making the playoffs.
For fans, this means the Lightning are a lock for the postseason. While their Wild Card probability is 0%, indicating a strong divisional or high conference seed, they still have a 19% chance to win their division. The team's 104 points place them firmly in contention, and they will be looking to solidify their seeding in the remaining games.
Season Narrative
The 2025-26 season for the Tampa Bay Lightning has been characterized by consistent performance, leading to their current 49-25-6 record. Their ability to secure 104 points through 80 games, with a projected final total of 107, demonstrates a high level of play. This strong showing has ensured their playoff berth, reflecting effective strategies and execution throughout the campaign.
What Needs to Happen
With a 100% probability of making the playoffs, the Lightning's immediate focus will be on optimizing their seeding. They hold a 19% chance to win their division, indicating that strong performances in their final two games could significantly impact their playoff path. Maintaining their current level of play and capitalizing on remaining opportunities will be crucial to securing the best possible position for the postseason.
Frequently Asked Questions
Analysis based on simulation data through 2026-04-12. Updated daily after each simulation run.