2025–26 NHL Season
Toronto Maple Leafs
Atlantic Division · Eastern · 2 games left
78
32-34-14 record
48.8%
80 games played
-43
247 GF · 290 GA
79.7
2 games remaining
Playoff Probability Breakdown
Remaining Schedule
The Toronto Maple Leafs currently have a 0% chance of making the 2025–26 NHL playoffs, a 0% chance of winning the Atlantic Division, and are projected to finish with 79.7 points over 2 remaining games. Probabilities are updated daily at 9 AM ET using 25,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining NHL schedule.
Atlantic Division Standings
| Team | PTS | W-L-OT | GP | REM | PLAYOFFS | WIN DIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Montréal Canadiens | 106 | 48-23-10 | 81 | 1 | >99% | 4% |
2 Buffalo Sabres | 106 | 49-23-8 | 80 | 2 | >99% | 77% |
3 Tampa Bay Lightning | 104 | 49-25-6 | 80 | 2 | >99% | 19% |
4 Boston Bruins | 98 | 44-27-10 | 81 | 1 | >99% | <1% |
5 Ottawa Senators | 97 | 43-27-11 | 81 | 1 | >99% | <1% |
6 Detroit Red Wings | 91 | 41-30-9 | 80 | 2 | <1% | <1% |
7 Florida Panthers | 80 | 38-38-4 | 80 | 2 | <1% | <1% |
8 Toronto Maple Leafs | 78 | 32-34-14 | 80 | 2 | <1% | <1% |
Playoff Race Context
Team Stat Rankings
2025–26 Season · Rank out of 32 teams
Goals For / GP
Offense scoring
Shots For / GP
Shot generation
Power Play %
PP efficiency
Faceoff Win %
Puck possession
Goals Against / GP
Defense conceded
Shots Against / GP
Shot suppression
Penalty Kill %
PK efficiency
Updated daily
View all team rankings →Toronto Maple Leafs 2025–26 Playoff Outlook
As of today, the Toronto Maple Leafs hold a record of 32-34-14, accumulating 78 points through 80 games played in the 2025-26 season. With only 2 games remaining, they are projected to finish with 80 points. They currently rank 0th in the Atlantic Division and 0th in the Eastern Conference.
Given their current standing, the Maple Leafs have a 0% probability of making the playoffs, a 0% chance of winning their division, and a 0% chance of securing a Wild Card spot. These probabilities indicate that their path to the postseason has effectively closed for the current season.
Season Narrative
The 2025-26 season for the Maple Leafs has been characterized by a struggle to maintain a consistent winning record, evidenced by their 32-34-14 standing. Their inability to climb in the Atlantic Division and Eastern Conference rankings suggests challenges in key areas, preventing them from competing for a playoff berth.
What Needs to Happen
With only 2 games left and a projected final point total of 80, the Maple Leafs' 2025-26 playoff hopes are at 0%. To improve their position in future seasons, the team would need significant adjustments to their performance and strategy to overcome the current deficiencies that have led to their 0% playoff probability.
Frequently Asked Questions
Analysis based on simulation data through 2026-04-12. Updated daily after each simulation run.