Question 1

Who is the favorite to win the Super Bowl LXI?

Accepted Answer

The Jacksonville Jaguars are the favorites to win the Super Bowl LXI at 12%, ahead of the San Francisco 49ers (11%) and the Minnesota Vikings (10%) as of Oct 30, 2026. 32 teams still have a chance.

Question 2

How are Super Bowl odds calculated?

Accepted Answer

Each team's chance comes from 100,000 simulations of the rest of the NFL season and playoffs. Team strength is rated from every completed game, adjusted for opponent, and each simulated season draws its own ratings so the odds carry real uncertainty. The odds refresh every morning.

Rank	Team	Record	Win SB	Reach Super Bowl	Make playoffs
1	Jacksonville Jaguars	4-2	12%	21%	90%
2	San Francisco 49ers	6-1	11%	22%	94%
3	Minnesota Vikings	6-0	10%	20%	93%
4	Seattle Seahawks	4-3	8%	15%	73%
5	Buffalo Bills	5-1	8%	15%	87%
6	Kansas City Chiefs	5-1	7%	15%	87%
7	New England Patriots	4-3	6%	11%	75%
8	Cincinnati Bengals	4-2	6%	11%	78%
9	Denver Broncos	5-2	5%	10%	78%
10	Chicago Bears	5-2	4%	9%	68%
11	Detroit Lions	4-2	4%	8%	61%
12	Pittsburgh Steelers	5-2	3%	7%	68%
13	Los Angeles Rams	3-4	2%	5%	33%
14	Green Bay Packers	5-3	2%	5%	52%
15	New York Giants	4-2-1	2%	4%	58%
16	Atlanta Falcons	3-4	1%	3%	38%
17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-5	1%	3%	32%
18	Dallas Cowboys	3-4	1%	3%	36%
19	Baltimore Ravens	4-3	1%	3%	35%
20	Houston Texans	2-5	1%	2%	21%
21	Cleveland Browns	5-2	1%	3%	50%
22	Carolina Panthers	3-4	1%	2%	29%
23	Indianapolis Colts	2-5	<1%	1%	10%
24	New Orleans Saints	2-5	<1%	1%	13%
25	Las Vegas Raiders	3-4	<1%	1%	13%
26	Philadelphia Eagles	2-5	<1%	1%	9%
27	Washington Commanders	1-4-1	<1%	<1%	9%
28	New York Jets	2-5	<1%	<1%	6%
29	Miami Dolphins	1-5	<1%	<1%	2%
30	Arizona Cardinals	2-5	<1%	<1%	2%
31	Los Angeles Chargers	0-6	<1%	<1%	1%
32	Tennessee Titans	1-6	<1%	<1%	1%

Super Bowl LXI Odds

Super Bowl LXI odds

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